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Docs/Metrics/In-migration
Metric familymigration

In-migration

The share of a place's residents who moved in from another county in the past year, and how that share has moved over three, five and ten years.

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Metrics in this familyIn-migration shareIn-migration share trendConsiderationsReferences
Source
American Community Survey (5-Year Estimates)
Geography
tract
Roles
leveltrend
Trend windows
3yr5yr10yr

The share of residents who were living in a different county a year ago.

The Census Bureau asks every resident aged one and over where they lived one year before the survey, and classifies each person as being in the same house, having moved within the same county, having moved from a different county in the same state, having moved from a different state, or having moved from abroad (ACS Subject Definitions).

This measure adds the two categories that represent a move from another county — from a different county within the same state, and from a different state — and divides by all residents for whom the question was answered. Moves within the same county are excluded, because a move across town is a change of address rather than an arrival. Moves from abroad are excluded as well: they are a genuinely different flow, counted differently, and concentrated in a small number of places.

Metrics in this family#

In-migration share

The share of residents who moved in from another county in the year before the survey, from the most recent 5-year estimate.

In-migration share trend

Change in that share over 3, 5 or 10 years, selectable in the tool.

The measure is a rate, so its trend is reported as a change in percentage points rather than as a percentage change, which keeps places that started at different levels comparable.

Considerations#

This is a gross inflow, not net migration. It counts the people who arrived and says nothing about how many left, so a place with high churn in both directions and a place growing quickly can read the same. Population and its trend carry the net result; this measure carries the arrival side of it.

It is also a one-year lookback asked over a five-year window, so the number is the average annual arrival rate across five overlapping survey years rather than a reading of any single year. Sudden inflows appear gradually and persist after they stop.

Arrivals are concentrated in rental housing and in places with a lot of turnover, so this share correlates with renter share more than it correlates with whether a place is desirable. It is best read as a measure of how much of the population is new, not of how much the population is growing.

A tract with a dormitory or other large group quarters can report a high share simply because its residents turn over by design.

In tracts with few residents the estimate carries a wide margin of error. Census tract boundaries were redrawn for the 2020 census and earlier estimates are carried onto current boundaries before use — see geography.

Related
PopulationPopulation volatilityRenter share

References#

  1. 1ACS Subject Definitionshttps://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/acs/tech_docs/subject_definitions/2024_ACSSubjectDefinitions.pdf
Regenerated with each data refresh.
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